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0x44c99903c2bd52c86372196d157f6910cea5d3b7
- Realised P&L
- $-260.85
- Volume
- $29.6k
- Markets traded
- 797
- Open portfolio
- $9.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded797
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.08at 0.795Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on October 13?
- +$32.22at 0.848Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
- +$28.39at 0.168Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 19?
- +$27.63at 0.884Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on October 16?
- +$27.14at 0.800Northern Illinois vs. Eastern Michigan
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 07:36 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.6999999456 | $9.00 |
| 08-04 20:20 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.34 | $1.73 |
| 08-04 20:12 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.29 | $1.48 |
| 08-04 20:06 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.28 | $1.43 |
| 08-02 19:03 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.849999983 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.2 | $5.34 |
| 08-02 17:49 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.7492357794 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.6479631902 | $21.12 |
| 08-02 13:29 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.5099999871 | $16.63 |
| 08-02 13:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.91 | $16.71 |
| 08-02 07:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.4899999973 | $9.00 |
| 08-02 07:48 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 08-02 07:38 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | SELL | 0.93 | $2.11 |
| 08-02 07:36 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 07:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8417296222 | $55.00 |