471pd
0x44ac33bac4cd70f5022d1103122dd3e73427dc9e
- Realised P&L
- $-11.2k
- Volume
- $909.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,253
- Open portfolio
- $259.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,253
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$893.80at 0.825Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 4.5
- +$776.01at 0.829Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$476.36at 0.919BMW Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marko Topo
- +$471.75at 0.702Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
- +$463.82at 0.790Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 20:56 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 20:55 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.0924999984 | $50.00 |
| 07-10 19:37 | Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9099545022 | $1000.00 |
| 07-10 19:35 | Belgium leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 19:25 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | SELL | 0.2707246377 | $37.36 |
| 07-10 19:12 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium? | BUY | 0.0890339805 | $100.00 |
| 07-10 19:01 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3599999977 | $50.00 |
| 07-04 00:42 | Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.1099999982 | $50.00 |
| 07-04 00:28 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.031 | $54.71 |
| 06-29 22:33 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7379882439 | $500.00 |
| 06-29 22:25 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | SELL | 0.14 | $328.16 |
| 06-29 20:41 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.7299999996 | $1.5k |
| 06-29 20:38 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.7199999856 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 19:03 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | SELL | 0.999 | $107.89 |
| 06-29 17:39 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |