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Traders

471pd

0x44ac33bac4cd70f5022d1103122dd3e73427dc9e

Realised P&L
$-11.2k
Volume
$909.0k
Markets traded
1,253
Open portfolio
$259.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,253
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.1490.385$118.50+$72.50
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.1110.160$30.32+$9.32
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1920.135$28.12$11.87
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0850.018$24.86$96.14
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.7500.826$22.03+$2.03
Betmoar FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7300.810$11.10+$1.10
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7400.635$8.58$1.42
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.7910.938$5.93+$0.93
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox · Atlanta Braves0.5500.510$4.64$0.36
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.0860.044$1.55$1.45
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3000.033$1.08$8.92
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1720.117$0.68$0.32
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0140.001$0.53$14.47
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.004$0.45$0.55
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.3940.011$0.29$9.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-10 20:56Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
07-10 20:55Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.0924999984$50.00
07-10 19:37Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.9099545022$1000.00
07-10 19:35Belgium leading at halftime?BUY0.008$1.00
07-10 19:25Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsSELL0.2707246377$37.36
07-10 19:12Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?BUY0.0890339805$100.00
07-10 19:01Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsBUY0.3599999977$50.00
07-04 00:42Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.1099999982$50.00
07-04 00:28Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.031$54.71
06-29 22:33Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7379882439$500.00
06-29 22:25Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?SELL0.14$328.16
06-29 20:41Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.7299999996$1.5k
06-29 20:38Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.7199999856$10.00
06-29 19:03Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?SELL0.999$107.89
06-29 17:39Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.289999964$5.00