bird2222
0x445e39db08a0d8c8f4e0da1dc76b71aabcb72328
- Realised P&L
- $59.96
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 384
- Open portfolio
- $613.57
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded384
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.08at 0.550Wimbledon WTA: Anna Blinkova vs Marta Kostyuk
- +$4.79at 0.800Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 3?
- +$4.17at 0.730Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$3.86at 0.810Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?
- +$3.70at 0.730Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.9709999996 | $10.07 |
| 08-04 18:57 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.28 |
| 08-04 18:57 | Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.8599999947 | $19.51 |
| 08-04 18:57 | Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.8729395035 | $19.51 |
| 08-04 14:58 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.25 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999736 | $21.10 |
| 08-04 06:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.98 | $23.45 |
| 08-04 06:56 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9679999993 | $23.45 |
| 08-04 03:09 | Will Yolanda Cooper-Sutton be the TN-05 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.9689999989 | $24.78 |
| 08-04 03:09 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.9359999977 | $12.86 |
| 08-04 03:09 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999986 | $25.18 |
| 08-03 23:10 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.9346540954 | $26.21 |
| 08-03 23:10 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.820297883 | $26.21 |
| 08-03 22:30 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.341 | $5.82 |
| 08-03 18:57 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 5? | BUY | 0.9399999976 | $15.96 |
| 08-03 18:56 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.9349999974 | $15.96 |