lt89
0x44534e22a52c22629394a4759ac90bfb3187f75d
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $81.8k
- Markets traded
- 483
- Open portfolio
- $79.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded483
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.55at 0.580Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
- +$84.62at 0.462Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
- +$65.91at 0.463Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
- +$64.98at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
- +$63.93at 0.663Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.0194858407 | $2.20 |
| 08-04 19:34 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0087366 | $1.31 |
| 08-04 19:24 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.04015625 | $1.28 |
| 08-04 19:24 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0260621774 | $1.06 |
| 08-04 19:23 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0197619048 | $2.49 |
| 08-04 19:23 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.04 |
| 08-04 03:28 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.81 |
| 08-04 01:42 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0106078431 | $0.49 |
| 08-04 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0090726786 | $0.44 |
| 08-04 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.41 |
| 08-04 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.0224135618 | $0.60 |
| 08-03 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.0276842105 | $1.05 |
| 08-02 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.68 |
| 08-02 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.44 |
| 08-02 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.00857552 | $0.54 |