juanpa005
0x443f80031c78186b8a9131b1fa10f66022592860
- Realised P&L
- $-5.74
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $7.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.72at 0.130Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 2?
- +$4.40at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3?
- +$3.76at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 25?
- +$2.64at 0.470Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on July 29?
- +$2.33at 0.300Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 02:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.45 | $4.22 |
| 08-03 21:57 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 17:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.48 |
| 08-03 17:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0098 | $0.24 |
| 08-03 17:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.54 |
| 08-03 17:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 08-03 03:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 23:50 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.62 |
| 08-01 16:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 2? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.85 |
| 08-01 16:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 08-01 16:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.045 | $0.22 |
| 07-31 02:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.41 |
| 07-31 02:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.64 |