GustavoPetro
0x43eb4d3b08351b96eed629f36585e017bd6c3d85
- Realised P&L
- $-6.2k
- Volume
- $1.83M
- Markets traded
- 915
- Open portfolio
- $247.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded915
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.3kat 0.111Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$3.9kat 0.389Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
- +$3.4kat 0.769Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
- +$2.6kat 0.774US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.663Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:30 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | SELL | 0.401 | $16.04 |
| 08-03 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.0274108761 | $0.82 |
| 08-03 05:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.39 |
| 08-03 05:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.0525006252 | $2.10 |
| 08-03 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.995 | $59.70 |
| 08-03 03:50 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.1643025656 | $5.57 |
| 07-19 19:33 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4039999999 | $1000.00 |
| 07-12 03:40 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.0178055892 | $94.54 |
| 07-09 17:47 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.1399999998 | $663.87 |
| 07-09 15:46 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.14 | $3.0k |
| 07-07 17:33 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 17:27 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.4299999998 | $500.00 |
| 07-07 17:26 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.25 | $300.00 |
| 07-04 01:20 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.6799999999 | $2.2k |
| 07-04 01:19 | Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana? | BUY | 0.1199999991 | $110.00 |