0x43818f0971284312ab3d4d5fdb304d362df22588
- Realised P&L
- $-136.05
- Volume
- $9.7k
- Markets traded
- 132
- Open portfolio
- $14.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded132
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship? · Yes | 0.161 | 0.300 | $9.32 | +$4.32 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.120 | $4.17 | −$0.83 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 TOUR Championship? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.047 | $0.78 | −$4.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$163.88at 0.058Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 John Deere Classic?
- +$73.33at 0.120Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$73.33at 0.120Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?
- +$66.92at 0.130Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?
- +$66.92at 0.130Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 17:11 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 16:14 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 15:44 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 15:43 | Will PARIVISION win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament | SELL | 0.3859040643 | $26.87 |
| 07-19 02:31 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 02:30 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 02:30 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 15:51 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 11:05 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 11:05 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 06:43 | Exact Score: France 3 - 0 England? | BUY | 0.0459999957 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 05:39 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 05:39 | Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 05:39 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 05:39 | Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |