cckoko
0x43232d9094d98a0144c81d837a1e36bd1320f818
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $53.4k
- Markets traded
- 451
- Open portfolio
- $12.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded451
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.22at 0.114Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 28?
- +$83.59at 0.098Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 28?
- +$59.87at 0.021Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on July 1?
- +$56.08at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 2?
- +$47.12at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.0458317986 | $2.24 |
| 08-04 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.3215246958 | $4.49 |
| 08-04 11:56 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 11:37 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.31 | $4.06 |
| 08-04 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.87 |
| 08-04 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.02096 | $0.94 |
| 08-04 07:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.2925 | $5.85 |
| 08-04 07:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.38 |
| 08-04 07:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0846153846 | $1.10 |
| 08-04 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 08-04 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.35 |
| 08-04 06:48 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.22 | $7.03 |
| 08-04 06:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.1768762202 | $4.53 |
| 08-04 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.03 |
| 08-04 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.28 | $3.64 |