KDFUF9EVBYU
0x42fddc24ba789be138525eebf26d1973b568b633
- Realised P&L
- $-17.17
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $155.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB dip to $200 in August? · No | 0.998 | 0.993 | $137.31 | −$0.69 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $13.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August? · No | 0.998 | 0.995 | $4.98 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.77at 0.530Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
- +$20.43at 0.350Ripple above $2.40 on January 10?
- +$20.27at 0.700Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?
- +$5.07at 0.988Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$3.08at 0.992Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:25 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 12:24 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 08-04 12:23 | Will BNB dip to $200 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $138.00 |
| 07-21 07:58 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 07-21 07:57 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9819999998 | $8.00 |
| 07-08 12:59 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $6.00 |
| 07-08 12:58 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $367.00 |
| 06-21 14:39 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June? | BUY | 0.999 | $355.00 |
| 06-02 11:49 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | BUY | 0.9931660468 | $355.00 |
| 06-02 11:48 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.10 |
| 05-24 10:44 | Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI? | BUY | 0.9899998671 | $7.00 |
| 05-14 15:57 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31? | BUY | 0.987 | $6.00 |
| 05-14 15:56 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $383.00 |
| 04-20 14:23 | Will Solana reach $160 in April? | BUY | 0.9949999577 | $6.00 |
| 04-16 11:48 | Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |