iluvdinosaurs
0x42f91dfc28217f3c73364573a8cf2b064e970732
- Realised P&L
- $16.24
- Volume
- $447.84
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $242.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? · Yes | 0.595 | 0.655 | $110.00 | +$10.00 |
| Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United? · Yes | 0.677 | 0.695 | $102.57 | +$2.57 |
| Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? · No | 0.315 | 0.312 | $29.72 | −$0.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.00at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
- +$-0.07at 0.270Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:47 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | BUY | 0.3149328095 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 16:36 | Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United? | BUY | 0.6774632197 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 16:26 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.5954330287 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 09:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $1.92 |
| 08-02 09:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 09:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | SELL | 0.54 | $6.00 |
| 08-02 09:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |