0x42cbe616cfee2291819ec4ea4fb6112af3410abd
- Realised P&L
- $41.87
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $130.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.44at 0.268Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 31?
- +$63.20at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 31?
- +$37.57at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 1?
- +$29.34at 0.369Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?
- +$24.37at 0.513Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.43 | $5.56 |
| 08-05 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1679649309 | $6.32 |
| 08-05 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.43 | $25.25 |
| 08-05 05:55 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.41 | $14.00 |
| 08-05 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.34 |
| 08-05 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 08-04 21:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $0.29 |
| 08-04 20:56 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.85 | $27.29 |
| 08-04 20:56 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.8662518741 | $11.56 |
| 08-04 20:35 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.43 | $12.60 |
| 08-04 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.91 |
| 08-04 19:36 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.3860037523 | $4.11 |
| 08-04 19:34 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.40 |
| 08-04 15:36 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.32 | $21.74 |
| 08-04 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.94 | $2.34 |