assamallakarelson
0x42a0d06fbbe224713c73a6a49ff8f1b1bd8f8e5d
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $232.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-37.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $62.18 | +$0.33 |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No | 0.955 | 0.968 | $50.55 | +$0.68 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.940 | $50.29 | +$0.53 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.935 | $49.55 | −$0.27 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.968 | 0.954 | $20.02 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$347.27at 0.590Braves vs. Marlins
- +$195.00at 0.500Reds vs. Pirates
- +$4.88at 0.940Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
- +$3.36at 0.940Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
- +$3.05at 0.950GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 08:48 | Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $50.00 |
| 03-11 10:04 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.59 |
| 08-08 08:12 | Reds vs. Pirates | BUY | 0.5 | $195.00 |
| 08-04 13:44 | Guardians vs. Mets | BUY | 0.62 | $567.92 |
| 07-28 11:48 | Blue Jays vs. Orioles | BUY | 0.54 | $696.06 |
| 06-30 08:15 | Yankees vs. Blue Jays | BUY | 0.58 | $573.62 |
| 06-21 12:36 | Braves vs. Marlins | BUY | 0.59 | $499.73 |
| 05-29 11:28 | Braves vs. Phillies | BUY | 0.54 | $501.12 |
| 05-26 08:26 | Cardinals vs. Orioles | BUY | 0.51 | $499.80 |
| 05-19 10:36 | Mets vs. Red Sox | BUY | 0.57 | $632.70 |
| 05-09 10:47 | Golden Knights vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.53 | $515.16 |