PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0nyxx

0x4273797e52b38adcbd8487cc9f9788d1008e19d8

Realised P&L
$9.0k
Volume
$1.36M
Markets traded
405
Open portfolio
$187.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded405
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.225$103.02$43.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.115$34.50$31.50
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? · Yes0.1890.060$33.63$72.37
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? · Yes0.0930.029$9.79$21.78
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? · Yes0.1110.048$6.52$8.55
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$56.00
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? · Yes0.1280.000$0.00$159.70
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$45.00
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$20.00
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$2.50
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$16.00
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026? · No0.0900.000$0.00$45.00
Will England win on 2026-06-17? · No0.1500.000$0.00$15.00
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$7.99
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.1150.000$0.00$167.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 12:59Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?SELL0.23$35.10
07-09 23:28Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.089999997$25.00
07-09 21:18France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.24$12.00
07-09 21:13Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?SELL0.21$45.05
06-26 16:33Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.032$20.00
06-26 16:29Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.1699999941$20.00
06-17 17:55Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0569999995$100.00
06-16 20:21Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.15$15.00
06-16 12:56Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$100.00
06-16 12:56Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$100.00
06-14 22:07US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.762$228.60
06-14 21:30US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.63$145.52
06-06 22:29Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.016$16.00
05-16 21:00Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0109999997$40.00
05-16 20:30Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0069999986$5.00