0nyxx
0x4273797e52b38adcbd8487cc9f9788d1008e19d8
- Realised P&L
- $9.0k
- Volume
- $1.36M
- Markets traded
- 405
- Open portfolio
- $187.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded405
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.644Pavel Durov released in August?
- +$1.4kat 0.133Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?
- +$842.54at 0.354Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
- +$734.38at 0.179Will Oleksandr Usyk beat Tyson Fury in Ring of Fire?
- +$639.05at 0.428LayerZero airdrop by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 12:59 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $35.10 |
| 07-09 23:28 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.089999997 | $25.00 |
| 07-09 21:18 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.24 | $12.00 |
| 07-09 21:13 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $45.05 |
| 06-26 16:33 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.032 | $20.00 |
| 06-26 16:29 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.1699999941 | $20.00 |
| 06-17 17:55 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0569999995 | $100.00 |
| 06-16 20:21 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 06-16 12:56 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 06-16 12:56 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 06-14 22:07 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.762 | $228.60 |
| 06-14 21:30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $145.52 |
| 06-06 22:29 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $16.00 |
| 05-16 21:00 | Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0109999997 | $40.00 |
| 05-16 20:30 | Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0069999986 | $5.00 |