Lvran
0x4257cc476d57e0337d413ca53a52e0bf98eaec50
- Realised P&L
- $-56.96
- Volume
- $502.01
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $20.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.55at 0.440Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$2.17at 0.480Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
- +$1.64at 0.550Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
- +$1.45at 0.580Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$1.08at 0.650Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:19 | Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-09? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 02:12 | Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.6211486219 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 05:31 | Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.6644628057 | $15.00 |
| 07-13 05:13 | Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.849999966 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 02:12 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 01:47 | Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-12? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 01:48 | Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 02:45 | Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4649999047 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 02:40 | Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.5899999902 | $6.00 |
| 07-01 02:02 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $2.00 |
| 06-30 05:33 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 06-29 01:58 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.5799999014 | $2.00 |
| 06-29 01:53 | Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.589999941 | $4.00 |
| 06-26 02:06 | Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 06-25 09:26 | Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.94 |