PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Lvran

0x4257cc476d57e0337d413ca53a52e0bf98eaec50

Realised P&L
$-56.96
Volume
$502.01
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$20.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-12? · No0.6100.700$11.48+$1.48
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-09? · No0.8100.770$9.51$0.49
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-01? · No0.6210.000$0.00$10.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$2.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? · No0.5900.000$0.00$2.00
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-18? · No0.8500.000$0.00$10.00
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-04? · No0.5900.000$0.00$10.00
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 · Under0.4650.000$0.00$2.00
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$2.00
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$2.00
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$2.00
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.0910.000$0.00$2.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$5.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$2.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 02:19Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-09?BUY0.8099999854$10.00
07-27 02:12Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.6211486219$10.00
07-20 05:31Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-25?BUY0.6644628057$15.00
07-13 05:13Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.849999966$10.00
07-06 02:12Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.3599999208$2.00
07-06 01:47Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-12?BUY0.6099999994$10.00
07-03 01:48Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
07-02 02:45Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5BUY0.4649999047$2.00
07-02 02:40Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.5899999902$6.00
07-01 02:02Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
06-30 05:33Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.4399999296$2.00
06-29 01:58Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.5799999014$2.00
06-29 01:53Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.589999941$4.00
06-26 02:06Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.4$2.00
06-25 09:26Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.3$1.94