0x41E56eAc8D81EE01555dCBc7a9D5A1BB8db0E283-1782971512635
0x41e56eac8d81ee01555dcbc7a9d5a1bb8db0e283
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $486.2k
- Markets traded
- 6,980
- Open portfolio
- $7.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,980
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$466.00at 0.021Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?
- +$435.85at 0.130Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 20?
- +$391.24at 0.904Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?
- +$388.49at 0.999Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?
- +$363.24at 0.014Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 10:51 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 08-03 10:51 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 08-03 10:36 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 10:36 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 08-03 10:34 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.7424 | $7.42 |
| 08-03 10:34 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 08-03 10:34 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 08-03 10:31 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on August 3? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.94 |
| 08-03 10:31 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 08-03 10:31 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 08-03 10:31 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.94 |
| 08-03 10:31 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 08-03 10:31 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.8815611814 | $6.27 |
| 08-03 10:31 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.994 | $7.07 |
| 08-03 10:28 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.994 | $4.97 |