PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x41E56eAc8D81EE01555dCBc7a9D5A1BB8db0E283-1782971512635

0x41e56eac8d81ee01555dcbc7a9d5a1bb8db0e283

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$486.2k
Markets traded
6,980
Open portfolio
$7.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,980
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.370$1.85+$1.40
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on August 3? · Yes0.0910.006$0.33$4.64
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.005$0.27$4.69
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.007$0.14$1.68
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 4? · Yes0.0910.003$0.11$3.13
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.005$0.10$1.72
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.001$0.08$13.66
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.001$0.08$13.66
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on August 3? · Yes0.0910.001$0.08$13.66
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.001$0.08$13.66
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 4? · Yes0.0910.006$0.06$0.85
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.001$0.06$10.72
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.001$0.06$10.04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.001$0.06$10.04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.001$0.06$10.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 10:51Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.995$4.97
08-03 10:51Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 3?BUY0.97$4.85
08-03 10:36Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 3?BUY0.999$5.00
08-03 10:36Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 3?BUY0.1$0.50
08-03 10:34Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 3?BUY0.7424$7.42
08-03 10:34Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 3?BUY0.95$9.50
08-03 10:34Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 3?BUY0.996$9.96
08-03 10:31Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on August 3?BUY0.997$19.94
08-03 10:31Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 3?BUY0.96$19.20
08-03 10:31Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 3?BUY0.98$19.60
08-03 10:31Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 3?BUY0.997$19.94
08-03 10:31Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 3?BUY0.42$8.40
08-03 10:31Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 3?BUY0.8815611814$6.27
08-03 10:31Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 3?BUY0.994$7.07
08-03 10:28Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 3?BUY0.994$4.97