MonkeyFinance
0x41b83ad4e59e58ddbee52267472cda7631e0ffe3
- Realised P&L
- $-150.51
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 551
- Open portfolio
- $13.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded551
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.00at 0.250Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$28.60at 0.430Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
- +$20.90at 0.561US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$20.53at 0.708Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?
- +$20.32at 0.776Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1238094165 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 07:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4699999702 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 07:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.1179476625 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 07:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0865384224 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 07-20 05:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | SELL | 0.8385601057 | $6.35 |
| 07-19 12:31 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 14:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.6599998733 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 14:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | SELL | 0.4 | $5.55 |
| 07-17 09:31 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4189999835 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 05:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | SELL | 0.927204611 | $6.43 |
| 07-16 09:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 09:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 09:32 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.641 | $10.00 |