0x418A729f10C6170a50E290354DBF6DD0Eca364c0-1775316182122
0x418a729f10c6170a50e290354dbf6dd0eca364c0
- Realised P&L
- $-513.92
- Volume
- $72.3k
- Markets traded
- 5,410
- Open portfolio
- $251.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,410
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.99at 0.459Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?
- +$37.63at 0.590Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 7?
- +$35.25at 0.573Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13?
- +$33.08at 0.129Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 20?
- +$28.44at 0.590Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.68 | $8.16 |
| 08-04 18:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9799999951 | $11.88 |
| 08-04 18:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.24 |
| 08-04 18:47 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 08-04 18:42 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5899999272 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 18:42 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5299999725 | $2.70 |
| 08-04 18:37 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 08-04 18:37 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.47 |
| 08-04 18:37 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.969999998 | $4.90 |
| 08-04 18:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.27 |
| 08-04 18:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8099999788 | $5.74 |
| 08-04 18:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.7599999944 | $5.39 |
| 08-04 17:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.94 | $11.40 |
| 08-04 17:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.769999991 | $9.36 |
| 08-04 17:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.93 | $0.13 |