leonardoprimo
0x418163e7e97316b650e58c14c1f36a31223cd668
- Realised P&L
- $4.42
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $243.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? · No | 0.974 | 0.976 | $49.61 | +$0.08 |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027? · No | 0.969 | 0.968 | $49.18 | −$0.08 |
| Will Brandon Lowe lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? · No | 0.989 | 0.985 | $48.52 | −$0.20 |
| Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31? · No | 0.966 | 0.964 | $48.35 | −$0.13 |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No | 0.964 | 0.952 | $47.58 | −$0.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.82at 0.950Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
- +$1.62at 0.941Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
- +$0.55at 0.976Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?
- +$0.45at 0.970Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- +$0.25at 0.982Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-21 08:15 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $51.02 |
| 04-10 12:25 | Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $20.53 |