power
0x41504815dd97225f9b981bf5bc1f9308ba66a603
- Realised P&L
- $-40.47
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $45.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBF released from custody in 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.045 | $45.95 | −$65.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.81at 0.210Ethereum all time high in 2024?
- +$0.24at 0.889Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?
- +$0.00at 0.490Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$-0.17at 0.334Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$-3.20at 0.400Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-03 14:39 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.464 | $97.33 |
| 10-29 14:45 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.334 | $70.06 |
| 10-26 13:46 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.36 | $70.06 |
| 09-25 19:09 | Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.20 |
| 09-16 13:50 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.49 | $100.48 |