bromarket
0x414982f507c78993d7e0cb55ac0651a058c5a929
- Realised P&L
- $60.95
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 871
- Open portfolio
- $0.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded871
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.007 | $0.87 | +$0.18 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Down | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.42 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Up | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.88 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$145.53at 0.230Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
- +$41.40at 0.665Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
- +$21.73at 0.575Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
- +$19.35at 0.240Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
- +$17.69at 0.547Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-06 15:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $6.76 |
| 06-06 15:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 06-06 15:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 06-06 15:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 06-06 15:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $2.55 |
| 06-06 15:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999014 | $2.00 |
| 06-05 14:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 06-05 14:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $0.88 |
| 06-05 00:27 | Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.0055564516 | $0.69 |
| 04-25 10:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $1.32 |
| 04-21 10:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $7.08 |
| 04-21 10:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.99 |
| 04-21 10:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $4.98 |
| 04-21 10:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.99 |
| 04-21 10:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.96 |