0x41420b2f6a475c7d2b394e6443d6d22f8fb39f79
- Realised P&L
- $-41.52
- Volume
- $63.5k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $1.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.71at 0.001Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 25?
- +$3.95at 0.200Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
- +$3.62at 0.580Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
- +$2.33at 0.300Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$2.17at 0.315Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 06:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 05:36 | Solana Up or Down - August 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 05:36 | Solana Up or Down - August 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 06:33 | Dogecoin Up or Down - August 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 06:33 | Dogecoin Up or Down - August 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 04:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 04:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 05:26 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 05:25 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 04:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 04:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 07-28 06:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 07-28 06:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 05:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 05:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |