PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x41420b2f6a475c7d2b394e6443d6d22f8fb39f79

Realised P&L
$-41.52
Volume
$63.5k
Markets traded
133
Open portfolio
$1.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded133
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 28? · No0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6520.000$0.00$1.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5310.000$0.00$1.00
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 3? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 23? · No0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 2? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 2? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 06:35Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.001$2.00
08-02 05:36Solana Up or Down - August 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.5$2.00
08-02 05:36Solana Up or Down - August 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.5099999566$2.00
08-01 06:33Dogecoin Up or Down - August 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETBUY0.5099999566$2.00
08-01 06:33Dogecoin Up or Down - August 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETBUY0.5$2.00
07-31 04:18Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.5099999566$2.00
07-31 04:18Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.5$2.00
07-30 05:26Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.5099999566$2.00
07-30 05:25Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.5$2.00
07-29 04:47Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETBUY0.5099999566$2.00
07-29 04:46Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETBUY0.5$2.00
07-28 06:18Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.5099999566$2.00
07-28 06:18Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.5$2.00
07-27 05:53Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETBUY0.5099999566$2.00
07-27 05:53Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETBUY0.5$2.00