PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

TheWitchKing

0x4129e50085d452f2189dbd3372cfa692397835ba

Realised P&L
$-23.82
Volume
$941.22
Markets traded
106
Open portfolio
$15.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded106
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Detroit Lions win the 2026 NFC North? · Yes0.3850.355$7.37$0.63
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04? · Yes0.4600.455$2.27$0.03
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0410.042$2.08+$0.02
Will the Detroit Lions make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · Yes0.9900.675$1.36$0.64
Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes0.1050.087$0.88$0.17
Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.0800.065$0.84$0.20
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1900.075$0.45$0.69
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$2.50
Enzo Fernández: 2+ shots · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$2.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$2.55
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers0.6800.000$0.00$2.80
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00$1.85
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$1.04
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$1.90
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$1.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 00:48St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York YankeesSELL0.93$1.12
08-04 00:46Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.46$2.30
08-04 00:38Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesSELL0.19$0.95
08-03 23:21St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York YankeesSELL0.53$2.01
08-03 23:13St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York YankeesBUY0.33$1.65
08-03 13:01Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesBUY0.59$2.95
08-02 23:55Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 8.5 Total CornersBUY0.6599999309$2.10
08-02 03:17St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue JaysBUY0.52$2.60
08-01 14:15Detroit Tigers vs. AthleticsBUY0.58$2.90
07-31 12:17Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles AngelsBUY0.6199999008$1.50
07-31 01:39Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta BravesSELL0.999$3.44
07-30 13:24Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.5799999014$2.00
07-29 15:15Boston Red Sox vs. AthleticsBUY0.58$2.90
07-29 01:00Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.679999932$2.80
07-28 23:33Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.69$3.45