PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

lllllle

0x411d2815d4b203e01170af74d7ab06ac5579e1ce

Realised P&L
$826.68
Volume
$15.8k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$302.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration82.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0340.042$302.12+$54.12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$100.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$93.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 12:51US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0344762967$248.00
05-25 16:12US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY0.12$93.00
05-23 22:12US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.7693021206$410.29
05-23 22:12US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.62$981.66
05-19 18:29US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?BUY0.0281313926$100.00
05-19 18:29US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999995$190.00
05-19 18:29US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.4499999992$240.00