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0x411d2815d4b203e01170af74d7ab06ac5579e1ce
- Realised P&L
- $826.68
- Volume
- $15.8k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $302.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.042 | $302.12 | +$54.12 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$93.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$791.67at 0.120US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$170.29at 0.450US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 12:51 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0344762967 | $248.00 |
| 05-25 16:12 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $93.00 |
| 05-23 22:12 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7693021206 | $410.29 |
| 05-23 22:12 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $981.66 |
| 05-19 18:29 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0281313926 | $100.00 |
| 05-19 18:29 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999995 | $190.00 |
| 05-19 18:29 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999992 | $240.00 |