fgdfgdj45
0x409c8fe219d04a4902e577e3c89a5e55a567e1ae
- Realised P&L
- $76.09
- Volume
- $35.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,522
- Open portfolio
- $256.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,522
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.29at 0.897Solana Up or Down - July 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
- +$1.92at 0.880Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$1.81at 0.887Solana Up or Down - July 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
- +$1.65at 0.945XRP Up or Down - July 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
- +$1.62at 0.923Will Kai Newkirk be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 23:12 | Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.988 | $19.76 |
| 08-03 23:12 | Will Diop Harris be the MI-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.989 | $19.78 |
| 08-03 23:12 | Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | BUY | 0.93 | $19.53 |
| 08-03 23:12 | Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | BUY | 0.965 | $19.30 |
| 08-03 23:12 | Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06? | BUY | 0.949 | $19.93 |
| 08-03 23:12 | Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.986 | $19.72 |
| 08-03 23:12 | Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.963 | $19.26 |
| 08-03 23:12 | Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 08-03 23:12 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.985 | $19.70 |
| 08-03 23:12 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 08-03 20:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-03 20:29 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 08-03 19:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 08-03 19:10 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 08-03 17:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |