timelessclassics
0x409a509725e26d494169e4c40c008adddaf04e8f
- Realised P&L
- $638.20
- Volume
- $114.5k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $60 | 0.700 | 0.780 | $690.30 | +$70.80 |
| Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.690 | $582.28 | +$75.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$707.04at 0.110Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?
- +$496.40at 0.270Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?
- +$425.36at 0.180Will "Oil" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
- +$390.57at 0.380Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?
- +$362.52at 0.190Will JD Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 08:12 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $62.70 |
| 04-27 08:11 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $199.32 |
| 04-27 08:09 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $206.58 |
| 04-23 09:52 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $482.80 |
| 04-13 04:14 | Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $368.94 |
| 04-12 09:47 | Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $81.34 |
| 04-11 09:29 | Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $31.54 |
| 04-11 00:36 | Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $506.40 |
| 04-09 14:42 | Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.32 | $158.72 |
| 04-08 08:30 | Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $497.20 |
| 04-08 05:06 | AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins | BUY | 0.619 | $761.99 |
| 04-07 08:59 | Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.53 | $262.88 |
| 03-31 02:22 | Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30? | SELL | 0.76 | $54.72 |
| 03-30 16:49 | Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $56.52 |
| 03-30 04:23 | Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30? | BUY | 0.72 | $51.84 |