helloitsme57
0x4095c7d2a350f07fa09519a4789c635a90a72e31
- Realised P&L
- $-668.02
- Volume
- $20.2k
- Markets traded
- 273
- Open portfolio
- $95.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded273
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.59at 0.540Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
- +$42.53at 0.750Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)
- +$39.76at 0.830Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score
- +$33.82at 0.580GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
- +$32.90at 0.830Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:57 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 06:20 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.9299999999 | $120.00 |
| 07-31 06:19 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.993 | $121.10 |
| 07-31 06:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.08 |
| 07-21 08:31 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | BUY | 0.2927565251 | $12.61 |
| 07-21 08:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July? | SELL | 0.766489917 | $12.92 |
| 07-21 06:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July? | BUY | 0.8301059986 | $14.00 |
| 07-21 06:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 19:04 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 19:03 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3624999656 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 17:13 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.196 | $6.90 |
| 07-15 17:11 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2279999839 | $8.50 |
| 07-15 17:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 17:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 17:07 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.819999999 | $100.00 |