PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

markdenes

0x408911c64f4027be18c9bc1f64540abe760a99d5

Realised P&L
$-500.84
Volume
$1.13M
Markets traded
145
Open portfolio
$23.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded145
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 17:28Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.002$8.00
08-03 17:28Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.002$0.01
07-31 14:13Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.002$10.00
07-31 14:11Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.0100583942$6.89
07-29 06:03Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.001$3.00
07-29 06:00Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.005$6.50
07-27 19:17Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.001$5.00
07-27 19:16Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.004$10.00
07-23 21:02Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.001$2.50
07-23 21:01Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.003$3.00
07-21 21:16Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.004$3.00
07-21 21:16Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.001$3.00
07-20 19:58Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.004$5.00
07-20 19:57Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.001$3.00
07-19 05:13Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.001$4.00