markdenes
0x408911c64f4027be18c9bc1f64540abe760a99d5
- Realised P&L
- $-500.84
- Volume
- $1.13M
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $23.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.03at 0.370Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$12.22at 0.450England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$11.65at 0.340Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$10.42at 0.590Hurricanes vs. Canadiens
- +$10.22at 0.370Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 17:28 | Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $8.00 |
| 08-03 17:28 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 07-31 14:13 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 14:11 | Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.0100583942 | $6.89 |
| 07-29 06:03 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 06:00 | Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.005 | $6.50 |
| 07-27 19:17 | Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 19:16 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 07-23 21:02 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.50 |
| 07-23 21:01 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 07-21 21:16 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $3.00 |
| 07-21 21:16 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 07-20 19:58 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 19:57 | Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 05:13 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |