cuishuang
0x4080f00fd5372f11432964cbec5929f4bd6aabd2
- Realised P&L
- $15.69
- Volume
- $334.67
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $5.38
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.772 | $4.35 | −$0.61 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.895 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? · No | 0.811 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| BitBoy convicted? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.20 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04? · No | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.31at 0.822Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.68at 0.570Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$3.06at 0.620Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?
- +$2.88at 0.410Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?
- +$2.75at 0.682Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 22:09 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.31 |
| 07-10 04:40 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8219999936 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 11:57 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.8599999828 | $3.00 |
| 07-05 11:57 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 11:56 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 23:00 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.876 | $1.04 |
| 07-03 22:58 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.09 |
| 07-03 02:00 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 01:05 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | SELL | 0.99 | $8.68 |
| 07-02 12:02 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 05:14 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 16:35 | Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.9459999962 | $2.00 |
| 06-25 16:34 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $2.00 |
| 06-25 16:33 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.8109999497 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 18:57 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | SELL | 0.95 | $4.45 |