HLos
0x40786981d5a724d7b4e9b4be69c785a5991799cb
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $167.0k
- Markets traded
- 688
- Open portfolio
- $6.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded688
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.600Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
- +$492.00at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11AM ET
- +$330.91at 0.105Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
- +$252.00at 0.260Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1PM ET
- +$184.37at 0.138Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 13:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.07 | $56.00 |
| 08-01 13:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0214647189 | $40.00 |
| 08-01 13:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.07 | $126.00 |
| 07-10 07:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999934 | $12.00 |
| 07-10 07:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999907 | $20.00 |
| 07-10 07:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2999999925 | $20.00 |
| 07-10 07:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999968 | $40.00 |
| 07-10 07:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999937 | $30.00 |
| 07-10 06:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 06:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 07-10 06:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 07-10 06:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6199999981 | $20.00 |
| 07-10 06:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.496463 | $49.65 |
| 07-07 14:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.4068760949 | $90.00 |
| 07-07 13:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |