PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

HLos

0x40786981d5a724d7b4e9b4be69c785a5991799cb

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$167.0k
Markets traded
688
Open portfolio
$6.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded688
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0210.004$6.52$33.48
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 13? · Down0.5300.000$0.00$1.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET · Down0.1250.000$0.00$12.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET · Down0.1180.000$0.00$44.06
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro · Sho Shimabukuro0.5000.000$0.00$1.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Up0.3160.000$0.00$66.41
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals · Royal Challengers Bangalore0.6100.000$0.00$1.98
Will FC Südtirol win on 2026-04-25? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$1.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET · Up0.2810.000$0.00$140.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3AM ET · Up0.2390.000$0.00$169.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET · Down0.1980.000$0.00$57.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET · Up0.1980.000$0.00$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00$19.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET · Up0.2200.000$0.00$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 13:38Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 1?BUY0.07$56.00
08-01 13:38Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.0214647189$40.00
08-01 13:37Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 1?BUY0.07$126.00
07-10 07:02Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETBUY0.0899999934$12.00
07-10 07:01Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.2899999907$20.00
07-10 07:01Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.2999999925$20.00
07-10 07:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.3399999968$40.00
07-10 07:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETBUY0.2699999937$30.00
07-10 06:55Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETBUY0.1$10.00
07-10 06:54Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETBUY0.24$24.00
07-10 06:53Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETBUY0.37$37.00
07-10 06:53Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETBUY0.6199999981$20.00
07-10 06:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETBUY0.496463$49.65
07-07 14:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10AM ETBUY0.4068760949$90.00
07-07 13:55Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.2299999869$10.00