yydream
0x404277002b736e00634e507032a365b2385e7055
- Realised P&L
- $-4.47
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $21.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.25at 0.404Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 31?
- +$5.95at 0.840Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on August 3?
- +$5.18at 0.740Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 1?
- +$4.80at 0.840Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 30?
- +$4.60at 0.770Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.72 | $28.80 |
| 08-03 13:54 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.05 |
| 08-03 09:49 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 08-03 09:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.80 |
| 08-02 17:43 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 08-02 16:23 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.43 |
| 08-02 16:22 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.37 |
| 08-02 16:22 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 08-02 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-02 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 14:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.67 | $23.45 |
| 08-01 14:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.84 | $41.66 |
| 08-01 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $17.98 |
| 08-01 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-01 14:23 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.69 | $24.15 |