0x40100adb89e1e942e37f7448cd478fe10711b441
- Realised P&L
- $-5.52
- Volume
- $46.00
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $2.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.655 | $2.66 | −$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.95at 0.350Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?
- +$1.60at 0.550Will Trump say "Motor City" during Michigan remarks?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
- +$-2.10at 0.210Will Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner?
- +$-3.36at 0.420Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 22:38 | Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6999998275 | $2.84 |
| 07-30 00:56 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.04 |
| 07-27 14:44 | Will Trump say "Motor City" during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.5499999298 | $1.96 |
| 07-25 01:58 | Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.42 | $3.36 |
| 07-24 13:57 | Will Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 07-24 13:57 | Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.05 |
| 07-24 01:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2639999555 | $3.51 |