PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x40100adb89e1e942e37f7448cd478fe10711b441

Realised P&L
$-5.52
Volume
$46.00
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$2.64

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7000.655$2.66$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 22:38Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.6999998275$2.84
07-30 00:56Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.04
07-27 14:44Will Trump say "Motor City" during Michigan remarks?BUY0.5499999298$1.96
07-25 01:58Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.42$3.36
07-24 13:57Will Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner?BUY0.21$2.10
07-24 13:57Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?BUY0.35$1.05
07-24 01:56Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.2639999555$3.51
Trader 0x4010…b441 · PolyBot