0x3fbd040bb8644e8140870c27ba8f8d14258df90e
- Realised P&L
- $-6.81
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $1.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Bradley Barcola be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
- +$1.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
- +$0.96at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
- +$0.96at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
- +$0.96at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 08:11 | Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 08:11 | Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 05:58 | Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 05:57 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | SELL | 0.52 | $1.96 |
| 07-21 12:27 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 07-20 09:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 09:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 03:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 03:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 07-18 04:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 04:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 06:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 06:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 08:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 08:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |