Icosan
0x3fbb3c54af21aff74eab484be304c718785f5f4d
- Realised P&L
- $-336.92
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $120.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.00at 0.510Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)
- +$96.60at 0.310US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$65.90at 0.240US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$53.89at 0.527Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$39.52at 0.790US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 21:00 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.568 | $17.24 |
| 07-14 20:05 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 07-14 20:04 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.201 | $22.11 |
| 07-09 21:06 | France to win the second half? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 20:27 | France vs. Morocco: O/U 11.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.3989418325 | $17.00 |
| 07-09 20:24 | France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 06-16 13:41 | France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $37.60 |
| 06-02 14:33 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.164 | $16.40 |
| 03-23 18:50 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $18.42 |
| 03-23 18:50 | Iran leadership change by March 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $9.46 |
| 03-16 14:18 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0558599482 | $100.00 |
| 03-14 16:11 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 03-14 16:03 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 03-13 23:59 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.3799999964 | $50.00 |
| 03-09 22:21 | Iran leadership change by March 31? | BUY | 0.3699999957 | $50.00 |