anu2356
0x3f6897b4c9194c0aa86ff7c522b0c8bdfff02b30
- Realised P&L
- $-42.08
- Volume
- $111.9k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $13.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.205 | $10.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.038 | $2.14 | −$2.86 |
| Will Solana reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.375 | $0.68 | −$0.32 |
| Pistons vs. Raptors · Raptors | 0.469 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in December? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Nuggets vs. Bulls · Bulls | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in August? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Pacers vs. Bucks · Pacers | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Hornets vs. Rockets · Rockets | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Heat vs. Wizards · Wizards | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 27? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.00at 0.450Knicks vs. 76ers
- +$37.00at 0.260Jazz vs. Heat
- +$36.99at 0.730Mavericks vs. Lakers
- +$34.05at 0.370Kings vs. Grizzlies
- +$18.73at 0.480Hawks vs. Pacers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 07:00 | Will Solana reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 04:13 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 08:32 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.5799999014 | $2.00 |
| 05-27 08:56 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 05-14 02:30 | Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 04-29 07:11 | Celtics vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 02-23 06:55 | Kings vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.3699999887 | $20.00 |
| 02-23 06:55 | Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.0k |
| 02-23 06:38 | Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.991 | $3.0k |
| 02-22 13:21 | Nets vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.8 | $35.00 |
| 02-22 13:19 | Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.0k |
| 02-22 12:58 | Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.991 | $3.0k |
| 02-21 12:39 | Kings vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $54.00 |
| 02-21 12:38 | Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.989 | $3.0k |
| 02-21 12:25 | Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.0k |