Dumby1
0x3f1218d8297bdc461c4786e4e2053a7cc544f324
- Realised P&L
- $-86.32
- Volume
- $20.8k
- Markets traded
- 666
- Open portfolio
- $115.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded666
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$133.81at 0.022Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 24?
- +$49.29at 0.092Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 21?
- +$48.97at 0.093Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 26?
- +$45.99at 0.096Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 25?
- +$44.41at 0.184Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.981 | $3.27 |
| 08-02 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.981 | $6.87 |
| 08-02 22:50 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.9299999961 | $9.61 |
| 08-02 20:40 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1441817211 | $5.09 |
| 08-02 18:09 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.8899999965 | $10.19 |
| 08-02 16:05 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.98 | $10.69 |
| 08-02 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.88 |
| 08-02 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.98 | $7.84 |
| 08-02 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.8899999276 | $9.71 |
| 08-02 15:03 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.8899999991 | $9.71 |
| 08-02 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.98 | $2.62 |
| 08-02 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.98 | $7.84 |
| 08-02 13:59 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.99 | $10.93 |
| 08-02 12:58 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.69 |
| 08-02 12:03 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.88 | $9.39 |