PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ihsanmumra

0x3ec835c964ae750748e6318f8b2823160dc32f65

Realised P&L
$-126.11
Volume
$14.6k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$20.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4? · Yes0.0020.004$15.47+$6.63
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? · Yes0.0300.015$4.83$5.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET · Down0.3900.000$0.00$4.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET · Down0.1400.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00$5.00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00$4.74
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00$4.78
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-04-22? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$8.77
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-22? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$9.72
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-19? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$3.04
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Down0.5300.000$0.00$0.97
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$13.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00$4.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 19:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4?BUY0.002$8.84
08-01 19:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4?BUY0.0299999971$10.00
06-17 18:03Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.08$9.00
06-17 17:16Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?BUY0.08$7.41
06-15 16:39Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.8$4.74
05-26 17:51Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?BUY0.059999996$13.70
05-17 20:43Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?BUY0.2$9.81
05-17 19:05Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17?BUY0.1199999445$1.73
05-17 18:55Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?SELL0.15$1.50
05-17 18:43Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?BUY0.1299999941$17.00
05-04 21:31Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.2599999272$2.00
05-04 21:15Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.4699999887$5.00
05-04 21:04Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETBUY0.1399999787$5.00
05-04 20:51Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?SELL0.01$0.67
05-04 20:34Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?BUY0.1499999887$10.00