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0x3E58641210a528cCE1f9EA44790657aa1eF693E0-1768922832767

0x3e58641210a528cce1f9ea44790657aa1ef693e0

Realised P&L
$362.27
Volume
$39.9k
Markets traded
658
Open portfolio
$2.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded658
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 5? · Yes0.0100.004$1.53$2.93
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 5? · Yes0.0090.001$0.69$5.31
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C or below on August 5? · Yes0.0060.001$0.16$1.84
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 4? · Yes0.0020.001$0.08$0.23
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? · Yes0.1030.001$0.01$2.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4? · Yes0.4890.001$0.01$4.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 17:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1PM ETBUY0.2899998666$1.00
08-04 17:00Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1PM ETBUY0.4199999832$5.00
08-04 16:57Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4?SELL0.996$170.38
08-04 12:56Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 4?SELL0.0465009648$5.06
08-04 12:28Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 4?BUY0.1112683706$1.00
08-04 12:28Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 4?BUY0.0901433279$9.00
08-04 12:02Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 5?BUY0.001$0.08
08-04 12:00Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8AM ETBUY0.4199999832$5.00
08-04 11:32Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
08-04 11:32Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 4?SELL0.0133705028$1.91
08-04 11:32Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4?BUY0.8299999967$10.00
08-04 11:31Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4?BUY0.809999998$8.00
08-04 09:34Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 4?SELL0.98$4.08
08-04 08:51Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 4?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
08-04 08:51Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4?BUY0.1652284343$1.00