heavenlydelusion
0x3dc44175ae2d0175ee7bc76cd9ec04b614a91fd8
- Realised P&L
- $800.85
- Volume
- $198.7k
- Markets traded
- 9,645
- Open portfolio
- $5.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,645
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.58at 0.130Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29?
- +$128.96at 0.093Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?
- +$101.76at 0.075Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 22?
- +$100.00at 0.798Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 29?
- +$99.41at 0.173Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.07 |
| 08-04 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.6999997789 | $2.85 |
| 08-04 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.04 |
| 08-04 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8599999706 | $3.51 |
| 08-04 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.04 |
| 08-04 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.91 |
| 08-04 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on August 6? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.06 |
| 08-04 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.07 |
| 08-04 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9699999975 | $3.95 |
| 08-04 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.04 |
| 08-04 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8399999719 | $2.39 |
| 08-04 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.84 |
| 08-04 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.9989999441 | $2.84 |
| 08-04 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9789999961 | $2.79 |
| 08-04 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9969999996 | $2.84 |