0x3DAFEf1DA628Bdf13B555cF5591ef7Ea7329C5da-1773487011638
0x3dafef1da628bdf13b555cf5591ef7ea7329c5da
- Realised P&L
- $-84.27
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $57.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $1.80 in August? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.016 | $55.99 | −$66.49 |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.006 | $1.92 | −$0.15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Down | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.98 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Down | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.95 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET · Up | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.97 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET · Down | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Up | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Down | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Down | 0.777 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.93 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Up | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.96 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET · Down | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.41at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
- +$5.15at 0.660Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
- +$1.92at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
- +$1.89at 0.340Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
- +$1.48at 0.670Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:09 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.07 |
| 08-02 14:07 | Will XRP reach $1.80 in August? | BUY | 0.0349999997 | $122.48 |
| 03-15 20:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $3.91 |
| 03-15 20:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 20:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3265248233 | $6.83 |
| 03-15 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 03-15 20:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 20:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999446 | $1.94 |
| 03-14 13:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999966 | $6.90 |
| 03-14 13:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $2.95 |
| 03-14 12:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6999999767 | $2.93 |
| 03-14 12:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 03-14 12:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6299999454 | $2.92 |
| 03-14 12:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.8599999828 | $2.98 |
| 03-14 12:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $9.75 |