kunter126
0x3d4690c11d64b372c4c35d17c26fb345f93c872c
- Realised P&L
- $-7.39
- Volume
- $105.55
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $8.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.910 | 0.810 | $4.05 | −$0.50 |
| Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.880 | 0.640 | $3.20 | −$1.20 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.325 | $1.63 | −$0.07 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.331 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.31 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.75at 0.125Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.44at 0.953Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.33at 0.750Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5
- +$0.30at 0.767Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5
- +$0.29at 0.974Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 01:09 | Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 07-20 01:08 | Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 07-20 01:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 07-03 00:15 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9639999969 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 14:31 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5899999697 | $7.00 |
| 07-02 14:30 | Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde? | BUY | 0.1399999426 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 14:29 | Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 14:07 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9399999937 | $3.00 |
| 07-02 14:04 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9659999942 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 14:03 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9009999788 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 12:28 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9739999991 | $11.00 |
| 07-02 12:27 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9399996992 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 09:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2? | BUY | 0.8499994475 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 09:01 | Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.7674999942 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 08:59 | Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.9074999728 | $2.00 |