0x3D055084621E08C0CD869A7f55039b777A3609cF-1728134037998
0x3d055084621e08c0cd869a7f55039b777a3609cf
- Realised P&L
- $-966.33
- Volume
- $443.9k
- Markets traded
- 228
- Open portfolio
- $386.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded228
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · No | 0.992 | 0.894 | $216.07 | −$23.79 |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next? · No | 0.994 | 1.000 | $40.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will George Pickens play for Atlanta Falcons in 2026-27? · No | 0.991 | 0.991 | $40.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will George Pickens play for New Orleans Saints in 2026-27? · No | 0.998 | 0.996 | $39.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will George Pickens play for Cleveland Browns in 2026-27? · No | 0.997 | 0.994 | $39.87 | −$0.12 |
| Will George Pickens play for Buffalo Bills in 2026-27? · No | 0.996 | 0.996 | $10.11 | +$0.00 |
| Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale? · Yes | 0.985 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$358.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.55at 0.997Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
- +$9.27at 0.976Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
- +$8.72at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
- +$8.70at 0.997Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
- +$7.95at 0.985Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 05:27 | Iran leadership change by May 31? | BUY | 0.986 | $22.68 |
| 05-20 13:23 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.994 | $359.99 |
| 05-20 13:22 | Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in May 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $120.12 |
| 05-20 13:22 | Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.994 | $120.00 |
| 05-20 13:22 | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | SELL | 0.989 | $2.81 |
| 05-20 13:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL | 0.989 | $0.16 |
| 05-18 01:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.988 | $25.11 |
| 05-17 17:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.993 | $360.00 |
| 05-17 17:46 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.985 | $4.40 |
| 05-15 20:26 | Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.986 | $49.04 |
| 05-15 20:26 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.995 | $120.00 |
| 05-15 20:25 | Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $211.79 |
| 05-15 20:25 | Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.985 | $240.24 |
| 05-15 20:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.993 | $119.87 |
| 05-15 20:25 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $260.76 |