shitovic
0x3ce3682a0ec44f4a1a0d2d22f43d4e0fcd3d4aa8
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $178.50
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.975 | 0.977 | $58.59 | +$0.09 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.971 | 0.934 | $44.86 | −$1.75 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.986 | 0.899 | $43.18 | −$4.15 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? · Yes | 0.956 | 0.938 | $31.88 | −$0.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$783.00at 0.500Mariners vs. Phillies
- +$652.86at 0.380Dodgers vs. Angels
- +$599.04at 0.480Brewers vs. Cubs
- +$549.12at 0.520Royals vs. Guardians
- +$480.20at 0.510Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2025-12-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 08:30 | Royals vs. Guardians | BUY | 0.52 | $594.88 |
| 09-02 13:18 | Rangers vs. Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.46 | $511.06 |
| 08-26 08:06 | Reds vs. Dodgers | BUY | 0.37 | $350.02 |
| 08-20 12:37 | Brewers vs. Cubs | BUY | 0.48 | $552.96 |
| 08-18 06:32 | Mariners vs. Phillies | BUY | 0.5 | $783.00 |
| 08-13 08:23 | Tigers vs. White Sox | BUY | 0.45 | $517.50 |
| 08-07 08:06 | XRP Up or Down on August 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $245.00 |
| 07-31 12:50 | ATP Toronto – Tien vs. Opelka | BUY | 0.46 | $69.92 |
| 05-15 13:43 | Nationals vs. Braves | BUY | 0.66 | $679.80 |