PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

lauureal

0x3cad6dc829843555488e72938db85bce57891995

Realised P&L
$12.32
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
248
Open portfolio
$0.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded248
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will ISM Services PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in July? · Yes0.3300.013$0.26$6.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00$2.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Up0.6200.000$0.00$2.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Down0.7500.000$0.00$2.43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Up0.7500.000$0.00$2.46
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Up0.7500.000$0.00$2.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET · Down0.6200.000$0.00$2.37
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET · Down0.7300.000$0.00$2.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET · Down0.6900.000$0.00$2.49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Up0.6300.000$0.00$2.23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Up0.7500.000$0.00$2.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET · Up0.7700.000$0.00$2.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET · Up0.6200.000$0.00$2.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET · Up0.6400.000$0.00$2.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Up0.7600.000$0.00$2.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 15:11Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.5499999869$4.20
08-04 13:56Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.75$4.37
08-04 11:16Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.7199999931$4.20
08-04 02:21Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETBUY0.75$4.20
08-03 15:11Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.7399999759$4.91
08-03 02:21Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETBUY0.7199999777$5.17
08-02 01:11Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETBUY0.7399999771$5.17
08-01 18:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.7599999941$5.17
07-31 19:01Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.7299999798$5.43
07-31 16:26Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.6999999865$5.17
07-31 13:36Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.7299999661$5.17
07-31 10:01Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.6899999746$5.17
07-31 02:11Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETBUY0.7399999651$5.09
07-31 02:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETBUY0.7399999759$4.91
07-31 01:51Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETBUY0.6999999725$5.09