bottempo
0x3c3737cea9a2b4d50cbfc1dde8da9bd8b0e5e1e7
- Realised P&L
- $-7.82
- Volume
- $441.37
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $2.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.67at 0.090Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on August 2?
- +$1.27at 0.440Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 9?
- +$1.15at 0.130Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 1?
- +$1.04at 0.490Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 16?
- +$0.82at 0.550Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 10:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 08-02 17:32 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:32 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.33 | $3.67 |
| 08-02 07:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.0210324844 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 1? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.15 |
| 08-01 12:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 11:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 77°F or below on July 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 23:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 12:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 10? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 10? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.12 |
| 07-10 00:56 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.27 |