PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

dongdo

0x3c30247243526b521d8dabf40da72d4f9277d8ab

Realised P&L
$62.48
Volume
$20.4k
Markets traded
955
Open portfolio
$344.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded955
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · No0.6900.978$19.56+$5.75
Will Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09? · No0.8300.999$8.93+$1.51
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? · No0.6300.915$8.80+$2.74
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? · No0.8150.895$8.79+$0.78
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting? · No0.6200.830$8.08+$2.05
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · No0.6930.885$7.92+$1.72
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9740.975$7.12+$0.00
Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? · No0.9460.966$7.08+$0.14
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat? · No0.8500.845$7.06$0.04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.6400.575$6.92$0.78
Will Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? · No0.9350.928$6.84$0.05
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? · No0.5700.525$6.82$0.58
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · No0.8400.845$6.75+$0.04
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? · No0.9380.950$6.68+$0.08
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat? · No0.9000.920$6.62+$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 10:07Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.8459995812$2.00
07-29 12:14Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?BUY0.84$6.71
07-29 12:08Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.974$7.12
07-29 12:06Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.92$5.86
07-19 17:40Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?SELL0.61$3.04
07-16 14:46Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026?SELL0.69$0.02
07-14 10:10Will the Republican Party win the MI-11 House seat?SELL0.965$5.65
07-14 08:46Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?SELL0.43$4.22
07-14 07:22Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?SELL0.64$4.03
07-14 07:20Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.81$6.02
07-14 05:55Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?SELL0.9$6.57
07-13 11:33Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.69$6.70
07-13 11:30Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?SELL0.944$6.51
07-13 11:29Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.81$6.08
07-13 09:00Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?SELL0.76$3.80