PolyBot

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Traders

0x152

0x3c17a6c31e42bc80433c019d1fc4260b48800458

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$900.4k
Markets traded
10,515
Open portfolio
$16.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10,515
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0010.265$7.95+$7.92
Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly one nominating election in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.0010.146$4.38+$4.35
Will the National Union for Democracy and Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? · Yes0.0010.028$0.82+$0.79
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.0010.025$0.75+$0.72
Will Ben Carson be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026? · Yes0.0010.017$0.49+$0.46
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Cory Sandhagen next? · Yes0.0010.012$0.36+$0.33
Will Petr Yan fight Song Yadong next? · Yes0.0010.011$0.34+$0.31
Will Achim Steiner be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0010.011$0.31+$0.28
Will John Beccia be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? · Yes0.0010.007$0.21+$0.18
Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? · Yes0.0010.006$0.18+$0.15
Will Ultra Prime win the LPL 2026 season? · Yes0.0010.003$0.09+$0.06
Will Dayana Yastremska win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes0.0010.003$0.07+$0.04
Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0010.002$0.04+$0.01
Will Robert Whittaker be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0010.002$0.04+$0.01
Will Elise Mertens win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes0.0010.005$0.04+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-24 15:41Wild vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5BUY0.6$3.99
03-24 14:13Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-11.5)BUY0.4899999837$10.16
03-24 04:52Pelicans vs. KnicksBUY0.759999996$22.82
03-24 04:52Kings vs. HornetsBUY0.92$87.39
03-23 23:18Sharks vs. PredatorsBUY0.5699999897$13.80
03-23 23:11Sharks vs. PredatorsBUY0.5699999915$14.08
03-23 22:56Bucks vs. ClippersBUY0.8699999955$3.91
03-23 22:52Raptors vs. JazzBUY0.8099996611$1.41
03-23 22:50Grizzlies vs. HawksBUY0.8799999702$1.18
03-23 22:43Spread: Spurs (-3.5)BUY0.5$99.57
03-23 22:42Grizzlies vs. HawksBUY0.8799999838$43.55
03-23 22:42Spread: Spurs (-3.5)BUY0.5$175.00
03-23 22:30Spread: Magic (-12.5)BUY0.5299999812$10.71
03-23 22:30Spread: Magic (-12.5)BUY0.53$22.26
03-23 22:30Spread: Magic (-12.5)BUY0.5399999954$25.89