PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x3b25A5CCAEDe2a6497420CAa308EaEaDdFD69e19-1779361149481

0x3b25a5ccaede2a6497420caa308eaeaddfd69e19

Realised P&L
$-4.88
Volume
$442.03
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$5.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes0.2200.455$2.07+$1.07
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? · Yes0.1230.221$1.79+$0.79
Will South African inflation be between 3.2% and 3.5% in 2026? · Yes0.0570.043$0.74$0.26
Will South African inflation be between 3.5% and 3.8% in 2026? · Yes0.1000.062$0.62$0.38
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5950.000$0.00$2.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 14? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bessent say "Tariff" during Press Briefing? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00$2.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1050.000$0.00$0.25
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$2.00
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1840.000$0.00$0.25
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$1.50
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 13:37Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$5.09
07-23 05:51Will South African inflation be between 3.5% and 3.8% in 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
07-20 06:51Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.358$1.18
07-16 20:43Will South African inflation be between 3.2% and 3.5% in 2026?BUY0.0570573607$1.00
07-16 11:53Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3019998146$1.00
07-14 14:10Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?BUY0.1229998967$1.00
07-14 10:21Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 14?SELL0.22$0.53
07-14 08:03Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 14?BUY0.4099998237$1.00
07-14 07:10Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 14?SELL0.11$1.10
07-13 17:23Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 14?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
07-13 17:21Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 14?BUY0.05$1.00
07-13 17:16Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
07-13 11:39Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.31$1.24
07-13 11:37Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.174$0.24
07-13 11:37Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.207$0.39