0x3b25A5CCAEDe2a6497420CAa308EaEaDdFD69e19-1779361149481
0x3b25a5ccaede2a6497420caa308eaeaddfd69e19
- Realised P&L
- $-4.88
- Volume
- $442.03
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $5.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.93at 0.430US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$5.33at 0.110Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?
- +$3.99at 0.334Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$2.00at 0.133Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.78at 0.360Spread: France (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 13:37 | Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.09 |
| 07-23 05:51 | Will South African inflation be between 3.5% and 3.8% in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 06:51 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.358 | $1.18 |
| 07-16 20:43 | Will South African inflation be between 3.2% and 3.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.0570573607 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 11:53 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3019998146 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 14:10 | Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? | BUY | 0.1229998967 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 10:21 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 14? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.53 |
| 07-14 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 14? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 07-13 17:23 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 17:21 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 17:16 | Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 11:39 | Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.24 |
| 07-13 11:37 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.174 | $0.24 |
| 07-13 11:37 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.207 | $0.39 |