0x3A32BfCacB18F43911476dcC91d40097115bDEf7-1781149391061
0x3a32bfcacb18f43911476dcc91d40097115bdef7
- Realised P&L
- $-25.79
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $23.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? · Yes | 0.483 | 0.450 | $23.29 | −$1.71 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 · Monte | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.85 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET · Down | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 12? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.33at 0.071Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
- +$2.73at 0.220Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
- +$-1.69at 0.037Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
- +$-4.62at 0.048Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 14:25 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | BUY | 0.3099999769 | $8.85 |
| 06-12 07:18 | Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0307316757 | $8.31 |
| 06-11 04:20 | Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | BUY | 0.4919076271 | $15.00 |
| 06-11 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 12? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 04:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | SELL | 0.03 | $5.38 |
| 06-11 04:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999943 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 04:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 04:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $7.72 |
| 06-11 04:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 04:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | SELL | 0.1959297344 | $13.72 |
| 06-11 04:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.0714030703 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 04:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $16.61 |
| 06-11 04:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 04:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 03:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |