conversionRate101
0x3a1fab8eaa38b1347d4b9e298e232bb4b0894877
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $127.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,609
- Open portfolio
- $240.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,609
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$251.87at 0.154Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on August 2?
- +$230.40at 0.302Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 8?
- +$227.75at 0.084Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 15?
- +$168.32at 0.305Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 2?
- +$168.25at 0.313Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 11:59 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1974250834 | $40.00 |
| 08-03 11:59 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3112532935 | $64.00 |
| 08-03 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.055862057 | $4.32 |
| 08-03 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2294636119 | $21.39 |
| 08-03 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0441258902 | $3.84 |
| 08-03 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2137930511 | $14.09 |
| 08-03 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3800707179 | $62.01 |
| 08-02 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1381999673 | $29.82 |
| 08-02 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3399999984 | $74.55 |
| 08-01 11:09 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.1578618773 | $14.77 |
| 08-01 09:26 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.2299999915 | $16.32 |
| 08-01 08:22 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.1226123302 | $11.73 |
| 08-01 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.3047541613 | $73.78 |
| 08-01 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.2240650407 | $8.27 |
| 08-01 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.2073824012 | $39.19 |