AirdropAlert
0x3a0e8b0c336bae260b285d310923e85c1867726f
- Realised P&L
- $353.69
- Volume
- $88.7k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $3.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$908.66at 0.017Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 25?
- +$61.52at 0.016Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 25?
- +$52.32at 0.061Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 1?
- +$40.59at 0.197Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 28?
- +$40.00at 0.200Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-13 23:18 | Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the March meeting? | BUY | 0.025 | $5.00 |
| 03-06 04:49 | Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.032 | $5.00 |
| 03-06 02:41 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 03-05 09:14 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | BUY | 0.0078679431 | $12.00 |
| 03-05 07:30 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $113.90 |
| 03-03 05:47 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 03-03 05:21 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 9? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.00 |
| 03-03 05:20 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on March 9? | BUY | 0.0379999965 | $10.00 |
| 03-03 05:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 9? | BUY | 0.1799999958 | $30.00 |
| 03-03 05:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 4? | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $50.00 |
| 03-03 05:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 4? | BUY | 0.0529999951 | $10.00 |
| 03-03 05:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 03-03 03:15 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on March 9? | BUY | 0.0359999966 | $10.00 |
| 03-03 03:15 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 9? | BUY | 0.0899999974 | $30.00 |
| 03-03 03:14 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 3? | BUY | 0.0254705834 | $10.00 |